
In the February issue of Best Life Magazine, Chris Taylor says the simple price-to-rent ratio may be a useful tool in helping you decide whether it’s better to rent or buy a particular property. It’s also a simple indicator of an overpriced housing market, according to Gleb Nechayev, Senior Economist with Torto Wheaton Research, part of CB Richard Ellis. Mr. Nechayev is responsible for all residential real estate research for the company.
The price/rent ratio is used like a stock’s price earnings ratio. It is calculated over time and charted to determine predictable patterns.
To determine the ratio, you divide the price of the property by the comparable annual rental cost. In his example, if a $200,000 house can be rented for $920 a month, or $11,040 annually, the price/rent ratio is about 18:1. Chris says that’s extremely high, historically speaking. And it just so happens to be the current national average. He points out that when the real estate market nose dived between 1979 and 1989, the ratio was 14:1.
If you rely on stock charts to make stock decisions, you may want to calculate the real estate P/R in your market. If you find the P/R ratios rich, Chris advises you to rent rather than buy. Then take the money you save by renting versus making the monthly mortgage/tax payment and invest it somewhere else. When the market adjusts (read sales prices fall), swoop in and buy. Then brag to your friends what a genius you really are.
The author cautions against blind faith in the ratio. He says it’s not a perfect predictor because the national average takes into account apartments in large cities and not houses in the suburbs. In other words, don’t use it like Kelley Blue Book.
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So in plain english what is he saying.
Rent when the ratio is high 18:1 or rent when the ratio is low 14:1
thanks